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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 36.81% ( | 26.08% ( | 37.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.49% ( | 50.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.57% ( | 72.43% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% ( | 26.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.15% ( | 61.85% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( | 26.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.37% ( | 61.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 4-1 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.81% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.11% |