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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 40.68% ( | 27.65% ( | 31.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.51% ( | 57.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.72% ( | 78.28% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( | 27.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.71% ( | 63.29% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( | 33.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30% ( | 70% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% ( 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 4-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 2-2 @ 4.59% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.67% |