Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.