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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 25.48% | 25.4% ( | 49.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.07% ( | 51.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.33% ( | 73.67% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.78% ( | 35.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.02% ( | 71.97% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( | 21.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.98% ( | 54.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 2-1 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 4.06% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.48% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 11.57% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-2 @ 8.99% 1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0-3 @ 4.65% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.45% Total : 49.11% |