League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Stevenage

Lane (12'), Bishop (33')
Pack (62'), Rafferty (86'), Norris (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Thompson (26')
Thompson (11'), Sweeney (35'), Freeman (42'), Roberts (57'), Piergianni (72'), Thompson (88')
Thompson (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Portsmouth
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Stevenage
48.68% ( -0.01)	24.44% ( 0)	26.87% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.31% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.06% (

46.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.81%

69.19%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.66% (

-0)

19.34% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.88% (

-0.01)

51.12% (

0.01)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57% (

0.01)

31.43% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19% (

0.01)

67.81% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 48.68%

Stevenage 26.87%

Draw 24.44%

Portsmouth	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.07% Total : 48.68%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.44%	0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 26.87%