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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Portsmouth

Exeter
0 - 0
Portsmouth


Carroll (79')
FT

Raggett (60'), Sparkes (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Exeter City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Wycombe
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPortsmouth
22.4% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)23.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)53.8% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (0.039999999999999 0.04)48.2% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.65% (0.036999999999999 0.04)70.35% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.07% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)35.93% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)72.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (0.033000000000001 0.03)17.83% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.42% (0.059000000000005 0.06)48.57% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 22.4%
    Portsmouth 53.79%
    Draw 23.79%
Exeter CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 6.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.36% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 22.4%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.79%
0-1 @ 11.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 5.6% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.47% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.36% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 53.79%

How you voted: Exeter vs Portsmouth

Exeter City
4.8%
Draw
4.8%
Portsmouth
90.5%
21
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Portsmouth
1-0
Exeter
Bishop (70')
Poole (51'), Sparkes (74'), Robertson (79'), Ogilvie (89'), Shaughnessy (90')

Hartridge (44')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Portsmouth
2-0
Exeter
Pack (57'), Morrell (74')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Exeter
2-3
Portsmouth
Jay (6'), Collins (76')
Hirst (5'), Curtis (89', 90+3')
Morrell (35'), Raggett (64'), Curtis (90+4')
Feb 18, 2020 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Portsmouth
3-2
Exeter
Harness (86'), McGeehan (90'), Marquis (90')
Taylor (79'), Burgess (89' og.)
Fisher (50'), Warren (59')