League One Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Jamie Reid 2' goal
  • Jordan Roberts 42' goal
  • Elliott List 67' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Sowerby 52'

Stevenage vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
Barnsley 2 - 1 Stevenage
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jamie Reid

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
Northampton 2 - 1 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Sam Hoskins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result

Stevenage 56.13% (-0.04)
Draw 23.55% (+0.01)
Northampton Town 20.33% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.53% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.44% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 49.56% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 28.41% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 71.59% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 13.58% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.41% (-0.01)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 82.52% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.48% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 52.03% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 47.97% (+0.03)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 61.24% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 38.76% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 24.5% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 75.5% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Stevenage 56.11%
Draw 23.54%
Northampton Town 20.33%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 11.81% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.3% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 5.99% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 56.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.54%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 6.42% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.31% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.04% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 20.33%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Akin Odimayo 17' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carl Piergianni 4'
  • yellowcard Steve Evans 5'
  • goal Carl Piergianni 80'
  • yellowcard Dan Butler 88'
  • yellowcard Finley Burns 90'+13'
League Two Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Louis Appere 5' goal
  • goal Jamie Reid 72'
League Two Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Danny Rose 35' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 85' goal
  • goal Louis Appere 1'
  • goal Kieron Bowie 82'
  • goal Shaun McWilliams 87'
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Chris Lines 82' goal
  • goal Aaron McGowan 18'
  • goal Mitchell Pinnock 50'
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 68'
  • yellowcard Danny Rose 78'
League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kion Etete 34' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 43' goal
  • Fraser Horsfall 63' goal
  • Paul Lewis 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Reeves 12'
  • yellowcard Terence Vancooten 54'
  • yellowcard Jamie Reid 56'
  • yellowcard Ben Coker 73'
EFL Trophy
Nov 17, 2020 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
ET
  • yellowcard Arthur Iontton 60'