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Championship header 2

League Two
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 27
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Wrexham AFC

MK Dons
1 - 1
Wrexham

Kemp (26')
Harvie (83'), Gilbey (90+5'), O'Hora (90+8')
Lewington (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McClean (22')
Boyle (48'), O'Connell (62')
Boyle (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Wrexham

 It is difficult to ignore the home form of MK Dons and away form of Wrexham when choosing a result on Tuesday night. A case can be made for either to win it, but we believe that two quality sides will end up with a point each, which both managers would likely accept ahead of kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.1%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawWrexham
53.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.65% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 24.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.74% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.81% (0.024999999999999 0.02)41.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.41% (0.024999999999999 0.02)63.58% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (0.017999999999986 0.02)15.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (0.030000000000001 0.03)44.48% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.0020000000000095 0)30.45% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 53.1%
    Wrexham 24.25%
    Draw 22.64%
MK DonsDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 53.1%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24.25%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Wrexham

MK Dons
41.0%
Draw
17.9%
Wrexham
41.0%
39
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Wrexham
3-5
MK Dons
Mendy (42'), Davies (82'), Forde (90+6')
Lee (23'), O'Connell (24')
O'Connell (6' og.), Eisa (10'), Leko (51', 64'), Harvie (90+4')
Eisa (11'), Norman (68'), MacGillivray (84')
> Preview
Apr 8, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Wrexham
O'Hanlon (75'), Swailes (2'), Wilbraham (10', 90')
Lewington (36'), Navarro (46'), Gueret (59'), Regan (60'), Miles (83')
Roberts (59' pen.)
Roberts (26'), Bolland (33')
Jan 19, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-0
MK Dons
Roberts (71')
Evans (49'), Nicholson (56'), Spender (79')

Wilbraham (64'), Johnson (83')
Mar 17, 2007 3pm
MK Dons
2-1
Wrexham
Andrews (38' pen.), Platt (85')
Dyer (52')
McEvilly (12')
Roche (18'), Garrett (37'), McEvilly (43')
Roche (36')
Oct 14, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
1-2
MK Dons
Roberts (20')
Done (64'), Evans (69'), Jones (88'), Mackin (90')
O'Hanlon (77')
O'Hanlon (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539
> League Two Full Table


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