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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Wrexham |
| 39.55% ( | 25.91% ( | 34.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.03% ( | 49.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.05% ( | 71.95% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( | 24.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.53% ( | 59.47% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( | 27.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.73% ( | 63.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.65% Total : 39.55% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 1-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.54% |