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Wrexham AFC
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Wrexham AFC

Sutton
1 - 2
Wrexham

Lakin (76')
Adom-Malaki (7'), Eastmond (51'), Sanderson (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boyle (45+3'), Lee (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Sutton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 0-1 Wrexham

There will be big pressure on Wrexham head coach Parkinson to deliver a positive result here, and we are expecting this to be a nervy affair. The Welsh outfit can call upon the superior quality, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawWrexham
39.55% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 25.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 34.54% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.32% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)49.97% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)71.95% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)24.86% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)59.47% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)27.71% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)63.27% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 39.55%
    Wrexham 34.54%
    Draw 25.91%
Sutton UnitedDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 6.67% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 39.55%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.54%

How you voted: Sutton vs Wrexham

Sutton United
23.1%
Draw
7.7%
Wrexham
69.2%
26
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Wrexham
2-1
Sutton
Mullin (14'), Lee (89')
Tunnicliffe (89'), Mullin (90+4'), McClean (90+6')
O'Brien (59')
Mar 6, 2021 5.20pm
Gameweek 36
Sutton
0-0
Wrexham
Eastmond (45')
Young (44'), Hall-Johnson (55'), Davies (85')
Nov 24, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Wrexham
4-0
Sutton
Thomas (27', 78'), Harris (42'), Yussuf (73')
Vassell (70')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Sutton
3-1
Wrexham
Bugiel (12', 36', 66' pen.)
Bugiel (19'), Davis (45')
Jennings (90')
Sep 14, 2019 5.20pm
Gameweek 14
Wrexham
1-1
Sutton
Grant (88' pen.)
Young (61')
Beautyman (63')
Butler (88'), Bolarinwa (89'), Ajiboye (92')
Eastmond (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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