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Championship header 2

League Two

Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Sutton United

Morecambe
1 - 0
Sutton

Garner (4')
Garner (24'), Stokes (45+3'), Senior (65'), Edwards (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Adom-Malaki (28'), Angol (45+2'), Jackson (72'), Hart (90+3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Morecambe
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Doncaster
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawSutton United
48.03% (0.016999999999996 0.02)25.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.61% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.19% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (0.016000000000005 0.02)50.92% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2% (0.012 0.01)72.8% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.78% (0.013000000000005 0.01)21.22% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.89% (0.021000000000001 0.02)54.11% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)33.75% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 48.03%
    Sutton United 26.61%
    Draw 25.34%
MorecambeDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 48.03%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.16% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 26.61%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Sutton
2-3
Morecambe
Smith (45+4'), Goodliffe (62')
Coley (44')
Mellon (30' pen.), Major (45+2'), Senior (90+1')
Adams (45'), Tutonda (72'), Love (90+6')