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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 43.24% ( | 25.8% ( | 30.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.55% ( | 50.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.62% ( | 72.38% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( | 23.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.88% ( | 57.12% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( | 30.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.57% ( | 66.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.23% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0-3 @ 2% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.97% |