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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 1pm UK
CNG Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Harrogate
3 - 1
Doncaster

Folarin (17'), Daly (66'), Odoh (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rowe (19')
Sterry (38'), Nixon (77'), Olowu (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
40.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)24.85% (0.013999999999999 0.01)34.97% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)45.15% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)67.49% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)22.4% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)55.91% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)25.16% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)59.88% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 40.18%
    Doncaster Rovers 34.97%
    Draw 24.84%
Harrogate TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.18%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.97%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Doncaster

Harrogate Town
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Doncaster Rovers
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Doncaster
0-1
Harrogate

Lawlor (65')
Muldoon (66' pen.)
Folarin (53'), Gibson (75'), Odoh (90+9'), O'Connor (90+6')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Harrogate
2-2
Doncaster
Armstrong (50'), Eastman (60')
Barlow (34'), Molyneux (47')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Doncaster
0-2
Harrogate
Armstrong (81'), Pattison (84')