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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 40.18% ( | 24.85% ( | 34.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.85% ( | 45.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.5% ( | 67.49% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( | 22.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.09% ( | 55.91% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( | 25.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.12% ( | 59.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 2-0 @ 6.31% ( 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 3% ( 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 4-2 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.18% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.97% |