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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Colchester United |
| 44.67% ( | 24.74% ( | 30.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.94% ( | 46.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.64% ( | 68.35% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( | 20.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.71% ( | 53.28% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% ( | 28.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.96% ( | 64.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 2-0 @ 7.27% ( 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 44.67% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.59% |