League Two

League Two | Gameweek 31

Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
1 - 2
Morecambe

Forster (17')
Conroy (42'), Wright (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Garner (35', 84')
Tutonda (80'), Harrack (90+4')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Crawley
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Morecambe
50.64% ( 0.4)	22.56% ( 0.03)	26.8% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 61.77% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.61% (

-0.49)

38.38% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.33% (

-0.52)

60.67% (

0.52)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.62% (

-0.04)

15.38% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.83% (

-0.07)

44.17% (

0.07)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.99% (

-0.56)

27.01% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.64% (

-0.73)

62.36% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 50.64%

Morecambe 26.8%

Draw 22.55%

Crawley Town	Draw	Morecambe
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.9% Total : 50.64%	1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.55%	1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.8%