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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 45.4% ( | 22.52% ( | 32.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.2% | 34.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.23% ( | 56.77% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.1% ( | 15.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.85% ( | 45.15% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( | 21.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.85% ( | 55.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 3-2 @ 4.16% ( 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 5-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 45.4% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 2-2 @ 6.79% ( 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-3 @ 2.11% Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 2-4 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.46% Total : 32.09% |