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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 46.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 46.82% | 26.77% | 26.41% |
| Both teams to score 47.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.48% | 56.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.49% | 77.51% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% | 24.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% | 58.45% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% | 36.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% | 73.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 12.67% 2-0 @ 9.01% 2-1 @ 8.97% 3-0 @ 4.27% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.51% Total : 46.82% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.92% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 8.88% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.78% Total : 26.41% |