League Two

League Two | Gameweek 29

Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Crawley

Tilley (11')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Orsi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 56.73%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Crawley Town
56.73% ( 1.33)	21.52% ( -0.14)	21.75% ( -1.19)

Both teams to score 59.41% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.19% (

-0.85)

38.81% (

0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.88% (

-0.9)

61.12% (

0.9)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.44% (

0.12)

13.55% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.36% (

0.25)

40.64% (

-0.25)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.73% (

-1.51)

31.27% (

1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.38% (

-1.79)

67.62% (

1.79)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 56.73%

Crawley Town 21.75%

Draw 21.52%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.53% Total : 56.73%	1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.52%	1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.69% Total : 21.75%