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Championship header 2

League Two

Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Accrington
2 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Nolan (50'), Woods (81')
Bickerstaff (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ball (36')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Accrington
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Barrow
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawAFC Wimbledon
38.81% (-0.105 -0.11)25.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.38% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 54.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.58% (0.00099999999999767 0)49.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.54% (0.0010000000000012 0)71.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)25% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.33% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)59.66% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (0.064000000000007 0.06)26.93% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (0.083999999999996 0.08)62.26% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 38.81%
    AFC Wimbledon 35.38%
    Draw 25.8%
Accrington StanleyDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.33% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.81%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.38%

How you voted: Accrington vs AFC Wimbledon

Accrington Stanley
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
AFC Wimbledon
14.3%
7
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> Preview
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Gameweek 41
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1-5
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Burgess (56')
Palmer (21', 42'), Assal (45+1', 64'), Pigott (57')
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Heneghan (90+2')
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