/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fharlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnewlog.png)
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Josh Falkingham
55'
-
George Thomson
78'
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Will Evans
31'
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Offrande Zanzala
33'
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Offrande Zanzala
52'
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Seb Palmer-Houlden
70'
Harrogate Town vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F01%2Fsimon-weaver.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result
Harrogate Town
39.73%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
24.8%
▼
(-0.01)
Newport County
35.47%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
58.31%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.12%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
44.88%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
32.76%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
67.23%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
16.62%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
83.37%
▼
(-0.01)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5
77.49%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
22.5%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
43.93%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
56.07%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
75.25%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
24.75%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
40.69%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
59.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Harrogate Town
39.73%
Draw
24.8%
Newport County
35.47%
Harrogate Town
2-1
@
8.65%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.31% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.73%
1-0 @ 8.31% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.73%
Draw
1-1
@
11.6%
2-2 @ 6.04%
0-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.8%
2-2 @ 6.04%
0-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.8%
Newport County
1-2
@
8.1%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 35.47%
0-1 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 35.47%
Liam Shephard
73'