League Two

League Two | Gameweek 30

Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
1 - 4
Newport

Thomson (78')
Falkingham (55')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Evans (31' pen.), Zanzala (33', 52'), Palmer-Houlden (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Newport
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Newport County
39.73% ( 3.33)	24.8% ( -0.04)	35.47% ( -3.29)

Both teams to score 58.31% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.12% (

0.07)

44.88% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.76% (

0.07)

67.23% (

-0.07)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

1.76)

22.5% (

-1.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.93% (

2.56)

56.07% (

-2.56)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.25% (

-1.73)

24.75% (

1.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.69% (

-2.48)

59.31% (

2.48)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 39.73%

Newport County 35.47%

Draw 24.8%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Newport County
2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.59) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.42) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.73%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8%	1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.43) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.6) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.41) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.42) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.47%