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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 39.5% ( | 24.66% ( | 35.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.84% ( | 44.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.46% ( | 66.54% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( | 22.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% ( | 55.76% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( | 24.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% ( | 58.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 4-0 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.5% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 3-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0-1 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 35.84% |