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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 62.09%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 9-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 62.09% ( | 20.96% ( | 16.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.4% ( | 43.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.01% ( | 65.99% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.51% ( | 13.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.5% ( | 40.5% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.92% ( | 39.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.21% ( | 75.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 3-0 @ 7.06% ( 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 4-0 @ 3.54% ( 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 5-1 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 62.08% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.96% | 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 1-2 @ 4.66% ( 0-2 @ 2.33% ( 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 1-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.94% |