League Two

League Two | Gameweek 36

Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
0 - 1
Mansfield

Wildig (10'), Lewis (51')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maris (50')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 1-4 Newport
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mansfield Town

All competitions

Last Game: Mansfield 5-1 Salford City
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Mansfield Town
25.94% ( 0.04)	23.83% ( 0.02)	50.22% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 56.51% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.03% (

-0.04)

44.96% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.68% (

-0.04)

67.32% (

0.04)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.88% (

0.02)

31.11% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.56% (

0.02)

67.44% (

-0.02)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.03% (

-0.04)

17.97% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.19% (

-0.07)

48.81% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Newport County 25.94%

Mansfield Town 50.22%

Draw 23.83%

Newport County	Draw	Mansfield Town
2-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 25.94%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.83%	1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 50.22%