League Two
Gameweek
38
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fafclo.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fgillog_1.png)
-
Omar Bugiel
33'
-
Omar Bugiel
65'
-
Josh Neufville
87'
-
Max Ehmer
11'
-
Conor Masterson
36'
-
Conor Masterson
38'
-
Max Clark
58'
AFC Wimbledon vs Gillingham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result
AFC Wimbledon
48.05%
▲
(+0.50)
Draw
25.76%
▼
(-0.08)
Gillingham
26.19%
▼
(-0.42)
Both Teams to Score:
50.61%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.17%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
52.83%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
25.55%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
74.45%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
11.7%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
88.29%
▼
(-0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5
78%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 0.5
21.99%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 1.5
44.7%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 1.5
55.3%
▼
(-0.35)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5
64.88%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 0.5
35.12%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 1.5
28.13%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 1.5
71.87%
▲
(+0.35)
Score analysis
AFC Wimbledon
48.05%
Draw
25.76%
Gillingham
26.19%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
@
11.69%
▲
(+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 48.05%
2-1 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 48.05%
Draw
1-1
@
12.24%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.76%
0-0 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.76%
Gillingham
0-1
@
8.08%
▼
(-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 26.19%
1-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 26.19%
Head to Head
League Two
Gameweek
20
-
Conor Masterson
85'
-
James Tilley
43'
League Two
Gameweek
34
-
Max Ehmer
58'
-
Cheye Alexander
66'
-
Ali Al-Hamadi
52'
EFL Cup
-
Ayoub Assal
62'
-
Max Ehmer
43'
-
Ben Reeves
69'
-
Jordan Green
81'
-
Mikael Mandron
90'
-
Jordan Green
90'+2'
League Two
Gameweek
1
-
Will Nightingale
9'
-
Ethan Chislett
15'
-
George Marsh
47'
-
Paris Maghoma
63'
-
Jack Currie
71'
-
Max Ehmer
35'
-
Olly Lee
47'
-
Ben Reeves
57'
-
Will Wright
67'
-
Scott Kashket
81'
League One
Gameweek
35
-
Jack Tucker
74'
-
Olly Lee
83'
-
Dapo Mebude
90'+4'
League One
Gameweek
3
-
Dapo Mebude
39'
-
Will Nightingale
73'
-
Ollie Palmer
85'
-
Ollie Palmer
87'
-
Ayoub Assal
90'+6'
-
Robbie McKenzie
11'
-
David Tutonda
55'
-
Jack Tucker
67'
-
David Tutonda
73'
-
Stuart O'Keefe
90'+2'
-
Paul Kalambayi
90'+7'
(OG)
-
Vadaine Oliver
90'+7'