League Two

League Two | Gameweek 38

Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 0
Gillingham

Bugiel (33', 65')
Neufville (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ehmer (11'), Masterson (36'), Clark (58')
Masterson (38')

Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Gillingham
48.05% ( 0.49)	25.76% ( -0.07)	26.19% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 50.61% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.17% (

0.03)

52.83% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.55% (

0.02)

74.45% (

-0.02)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78% (

0.23)

21.99% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.7% (

0.35)

55.3% (

-0.34)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.88% (

-0.32)

35.12% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.13% (

-0.34)

71.87% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 48.05%

Gillingham 26.19%

Draw 25.76%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 48.05%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.07% Total : 26.19%