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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 27
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Stockport County

Gillingham
0 - 0
Stockport


Ehmer (21')
FT

Collar (27'), Croasdale (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-0 Gillingham
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 4-0 Stockport
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawStockport County
30.75% (0.683 0.68)25.09% (0.247 0.25)44.16% (-0.931 -0.93)
Both teams to score 55.77% (-0.462 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.48% (-0.77 -0.77)47.52% (0.768 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.27% (-0.716 -0.72)69.73% (0.715 0.72)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (0.076999999999998 0.08)28.94% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (0.096000000000004 0.1)64.82% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (-0.738 -0.74)21.53% (0.737 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.41% (-1.147 -1.15)54.59% (1.145 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 30.75%
    Stockport County 44.16%
    Draw 25.09%
GillinghamDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 7.73% (0.261 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.36% (0.103 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.79% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.04% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 30.75%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 9.57% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-3 @ 3.76% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 44.16%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Stockport

Gillingham
50.0%
Draw
22.2%
Stockport County
27.8%
18
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Stockport
0-1
Gillingham
McKenzie (86')
Williams (3'), Coleman (45'), Ogie (58'), Nichols (75'), Clarke (90+3')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Gillingham
1-1
Stockport
Lapslie (54')
Collar (89')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 8, 2011 3pm
Stockport
1-5
Gillingham
Weston (71'), McDonald (32', 56', 79'), Barcham (51')
Oct 9, 2010 3pm
Gillingham
2-1
Stockport
Payne (37'), McDonald (3')
Julian (90')
Pulis (81')
Swailes (1'), Pulis (45'), Griffin (60'), Turnbull (67')