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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 29.78% ( | 23% ( | 47.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.58% ( | 38.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.29% ( | 60.7% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.97% ( | 25.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.3% ( | 59.69% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( | 16.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.55% ( | 46.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 7.16% 1-0 @ 5.76% ( 2-0 @ 3.99% ( 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 3-0 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.78% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0-3 @ 4.01% ( 2-3 @ 3.84% ( 1-4 @ 2.49% ( 0-4 @ 1.8% ( 2-4 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 4.36% Total : 47.21% |