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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.73%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Grimsby Town |
49.73% ( -2.65) | 23.89% ( 0.68) | 26.38% ( 1.96) |
Both teams to score 56.72% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.12% ( -1.32) | 44.88% ( 1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% ( -1.28) | 67.23% ( 1.28) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% ( -1.48) | 18.13% ( 1.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.91% ( -2.59) | 49.08% ( 2.59) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.27% ( 0.87) | 30.72% ( -0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.02% ( 1.01) | 66.98% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Grimsby Town |
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.43) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.73% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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