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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 44.1% ( | 22.88% ( | 33.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.78% ( | 36.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.66% ( | 58.34% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( | 16.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.96% ( | 47.03% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% ( | 22.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.6% ( | 55.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 3-2 @ 3.98% ( 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 4-0 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 4.3% Total : 44.1% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0-0 @ 3.74% ( 3-3 @ 2.01% ( Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 33.02% |