League Two

League Two | Gameweek 27

Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
3 - 4
Sutton

Langstaff (13' pen.), Crowley (33', 70')
O'Brien (68')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Jackson (6'), Smith (16'), Sanderson (64'), Lakin (77' pen.)
Adom-Malaki (22'), Goodliffe (31'), Lakin (51'), Hart (81'), Clay (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 1-3 Crewe
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 3-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Sutton United
62.48% ( -0.92)	19.21% ( 0.24)	18.31% ( 0.69)

Both teams to score 61.92% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.09% (

0.05)

32.91% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.38% (

0.05)

54.62% (

-0.05)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.85% (

-0.21)

10.15% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.62% (

-0.48)

33.38% (

0.49)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92% (

0.74)

31.08% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.6% (

0.85)

67.4% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Notts County 62.48%

Sutton United 18.31%

Draw 19.21%

Notts County	Draw	Sutton United
2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 2.46% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.49% Total : 62.48%	1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.21%	1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.42% Total : 18.31%