League Two

League Two | Gameweek 21

Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Dunes Hotel Stadium

Barrow
2 - 0
Gillingham

Chester (40'), Acauah (55')
Stockton (4'), Spence (9'), Campbell (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coleman (39'), Williams (66'), Masterson (90+6'), Hutton (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Barrow and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions

Last Game: Salford City 5-3 Barrow
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Barrow	Draw	Gillingham
41.62% ( 0.01)	27.42% ( 0)	30.96% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.56% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.14% (

-0.01)

56.85% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.22% (

-0.01)

77.78% (

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.08% (

26.91% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.75%

62.24% (

-0)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44% (

-0.01)

33.55% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.8% (

-0.01)

70.19% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Barrow 41.61%

Gillingham 30.96%

Draw 27.42%

Barrow	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.61%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.96%