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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 41.52% ( | 26.53% ( | 31.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( | 53.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( | 74.71% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( | 25.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.98% ( | 60.02% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% ( | 30.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.76% ( | 67.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% ( 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 41.51% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 2-3 @ 1.99% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.95% |