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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Morecambe |
| 49.03% ( | 24.17% ( | 26.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( | 45.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.9% ( | 68.1% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.25% ( | 18.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.87% ( | 50.13% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.12% ( | 30.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.83% ( | 67.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 49.03% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0-2 @ 4% ( 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 26.8% |