League Two

League Two | Gameweek 29

Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
3 - 1
Tranmere

McGurk (23'), Hepburn-Murphy (35', 64')
McCarthy (39'), Devoy (61')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Apter (25')
Merrie (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
42.08% ( -1.95)	24.62% ( 0.24)	33.3% ( 1.71)

Both teams to score 58.46% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.53% (

-0.49)

44.47% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.16% (

-0.48)

66.84% (

0.48)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.8% (

-1.08)

21.2% (

1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.92% (

-1.71)

54.08% (

1.71)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.19% (

0.82)

25.81% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.23% (

1.09)

60.77% (

-1.09)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 42.08%

Tranmere Rovers 33.3%

Draw 24.61%

Swindon Town	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.08%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.61%	1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.3%