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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Tranmere Rovers

Swindon
3 - 1
Tranmere

McGurk (23'), Hepburn-Murphy (35', 64')
McCarthy (39'), Devoy (61')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Apter (25')
Merrie (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Tranmere Rovers

Both sides are struggling at the moment and there are no clear favorites heading into this one. We think this game will end in a draw with both sides finding the net. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
42.08% (-1.95 -1.95) 24.62% (0.24 0.24) 33.3% (1.712 1.71)
Both teams to score 58.46% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (-0.494 -0.49)44.47% (0.495 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (-0.479 -0.48)66.84% (0.48 0.48)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (-1.084 -1.08)21.2% (1.085 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92% (-1.71 -1.71)54.08% (1.714 1.71)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.816 0.82)25.81% (-0.814 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (1.091 1.09)60.77% (-1.089 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 42.08%
    Tranmere Rovers 33.3%
    Draw 24.61%
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.198 -0.2)
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.117 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.61%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.264 0.26)
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.324 0.32)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.197 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.197 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.093 0.09)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.3%

How you voted: Swindon vs Tranmere

Swindon Town
35.3%
Draw
23.5%
Tranmere Rovers
41.2%
17
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Tranmere
2-1
Swindon
Morris (55'), Davies (72')
Jennings (42'), Walker (57')
Kemp (22')
Shade (82'), Young (89'), Hutton (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swindon
1-1
Tranmere
Wakeling (30')
Hawkes (9')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Tranmere
3-0
Swindon
Hemmings (6', 72' pen.), Glatzel (58')
Davies (2')

Mitchell-Lawson (60'), Iandolo (85')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swindon
0-0
Tranmere
McKirdy (53')
Davies (50'), Knight-Percival (87'), Murphy (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Accrington StanleyAccrington00000000
2AFC Wimbledon00000000
3BarrowBarrow00000000
4Bradford CityBradford00000000
5Bromley00000000
6Carlisle UnitedCarlisle00000000
7Cheltenham TownCheltenham00000000
8Chesterfield00000000
9Colchester UnitedColchester00000000
10Crewe AlexandraCrewe00000000
11Doncaster RoversDoncaster00000000
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood00000000
13Gillingham00000000
14Grimsby Town00000000
15Harrogate TownHarrogate00000000
16MK Dons00000000
17Morecambe00000000
18Newport CountyNewport00000000
19Notts County00000000
20Port Vale00000000
21Salford City00000000
22Swindon TownSwindon00000000
23Tranmere RoversTranmere00000000
24Walsall00000000


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