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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Tranmere Rovers

Swindon
3 - 1
Tranmere

McGurk (23'), Hepburn-Murphy (35', 64')
McCarthy (39'), Devoy (61')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Apter (25')
Merrie (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Tranmere Rovers

Both sides are struggling at the moment and there are no clear favorites heading into this one. We think this game will end in a draw with both sides finding the net. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
42.08% (-1.95 -1.95) 24.62% (0.24 0.24) 33.3% (1.712 1.71)
Both teams to score 58.46% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (-0.494 -0.49)44.47% (0.495 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (-0.479 -0.48)66.84% (0.48 0.48)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (-1.084 -1.08)21.2% (1.085 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92% (-1.71 -1.71)54.08% (1.714 1.71)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.816 0.82)25.81% (-0.814 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (1.091 1.09)60.77% (-1.089 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 42.08%
    Tranmere Rovers 33.3%
    Draw 24.61%
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.198 -0.2)
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.117 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.61%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.264 0.26)
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.324 0.32)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.197 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.197 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.093 0.09)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.3%

How you voted: Swindon vs Tranmere

Swindon Town
35.3%
Draw
23.5%
Tranmere Rovers
41.2%
17
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Tranmere
2-1
Swindon
Morris (55'), Davies (72')
Jennings (42'), Walker (57')
Kemp (22')
Shade (82'), Young (89'), Hutton (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swindon
1-1
Tranmere
Wakeling (30')
Hawkes (9')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Tranmere
3-0
Swindon
Hemmings (6', 72' pen.), Glatzel (58')
Davies (2')

Mitchell-Lawson (60'), Iandolo (85')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swindon
0-0
Tranmere
McKirdy (53')
Davies (50'), Knight-Percival (87'), Murphy (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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