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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Newport County |
| 57.51% ( | 22.36% ( | 20.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( | 44.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.82% ( | 67.18% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% ( | 15.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.93% ( | 44.07% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% ( | 36.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.96% ( | 73.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stockport County | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 4-1 @ 2.91% ( 4-0 @ 2.87% ( 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 5-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.51% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.36% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.13% |