League Two

League Two | Gameweek 42

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
3 - 1
Swindon

Lakin (9'), Coley (48'), Smith (70')
Sowunmi (67'), Patrick (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Glatzel (90+3')
Brewitt (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Sutton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Notts County
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Swindon Town
46.74% ( 0.01)	23.71% ( 0)	29.54% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.8% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.08% (

-0.01)

41.92% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.68% (

-0.01)

64.32% (

0.02)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.84% (

-0)

18.16% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.86% (

-0)

49.13% (

0.01)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.06% (

-0.01)

26.93% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.73% (

-0.02)

62.26% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Sutton United 46.74%

Swindon Town 29.54%

Draw 23.71%

Sutton United	Draw	Swindon Town
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.31% 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.62% Total : 46.74%	1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.71%	1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.54%