League Two

League Two | Gameweek 36

Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
1 - 1
Harrogate

Austin (85')
Devoy (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Connor (52')
Cornelius (54')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Tranmere
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Harrogate Town

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 1-4 Newport
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Harrogate Town
52.21% ( 0.28)	22.88% ( -0.09)	24.91% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 58.69% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.41% (

0.27)

41.6% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.01% (

0.27)

64% (

-0.27)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.01% (

0.2)

15.99% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.69% (

0.36)

45.31% (

-0.35)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.87%

30.13% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.72% (

-0)

66.28% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 52.21%

Harrogate Town 24.91%

Draw 22.87%

Swindon Town	Draw	Harrogate Town
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.21%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.87%	1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.05% Total : 24.91%