League Two

League Two | Gameweek 41

Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
2 - 1
Notts County

Drinan (19'), Glatzel (73')
Aguiar (23'), Kokolo (72'), Blake-Tracy (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jatta (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Doncaster
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Notts County
44.5% ( 0.11)	22.22% ( -0.03)	33.28% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 67.37% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.19% (

0.15)

32.81% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.49% (

0.17)

54.51% (

-0.17)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.54% (

0.1)

15.46% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.68% (

0.18)

44.33% (

-0.18)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.69% (

0.03)

20.31% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.32% (

0.05)

52.68% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 44.5%

Notts County 33.28%

Draw 22.22%

Swindon Town	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 44.5%	1-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.22%	1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.28%