League Two Gameweek 38
Crawley
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT The People's Pension Stadium
Notts County
  • Kellan Gordon 12' yellowcard
  • Joy Mukena 49' yellowcard
  • Harry Forster 54' yellowcard
  • Klaidi Lolas 73' yellowcard
  • Klaidi Lolas 79' goal
  • Ade Adeyemo 84' goal
  • Laurence Maguire 86' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Austin 20'
  • yellowcard Sam Slocombe 30'
  • yellowcard Jim O'Brien 51'
  • yellowcard Scott Robertson 66'
  • redcard Scott Robertson 72'

Crawley Town vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Harrogate 1 - 2 Crawley
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Danilo Orsi

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Notts County 0 - 2 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Macaulay Langstaff

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.12%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result

Crawley Town 41.65% ▲ (+0.46)
Draw 21.91% ▲ (+0.29)
Notts County 36.44% ▼ (-0.73)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.52% ▼ (-1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.62% ▼ (-1.57)
Under 2.5 30.38% ▲ (+1.58)
Over 3.5 48.35% ▼ (-1.90)
Under 3.5 51.65% ▲ (+1.91)
Over 4.5 29.24% ▼ (-1.73)
Under 4.5 70.76% ▲ (+1.74)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5 84.45% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 0.5 15.55% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 1.5 55.51% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 1.5 44.49% ▲ (+0.90)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 82.32% ▼ (-1.01)
Under 0.5 17.68% ▲ (+1.02)
Over 1.5 51.68% ▼ (-1.79)
Under 1.5 48.32% ▲ (+1.80)

Score analysis

Crawley Town 41.65%
Draw 21.91%
Notts County 36.44%
Crawley Town
2-1 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.37)
2-0 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.27)
3-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.04)
4-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 4%
Total : 41.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.35)
2-2 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.91%
Notts County
1-2 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.27)
1-3 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.12)
2-4 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.15)
3-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.11)
0-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.44%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 20
Notts County
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Crawley
  • David McGoldrick 20' goal
  • Lewis Macarai 58' yellowcard
  • Jim O'Brien 61' goal
  • Junior Morias 70' goal
  • goal Adam Campbell 10'
  • yellowcard Danilo Orsi 34'
  • yellowcard Scott Lindsey 35'
  • yellowcard Laurence Maguire 60'
  • yellowcard Adam Campbell 73'
FA Cup
Notts County
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Crawley
  • Dan Crowley 13' goal
  • Jim O'Brien 57' yellowcard
  • David McGoldrick 58' goal
  • Aaron Nemane 61' yellowcard
  • Aiden Baldwin 70' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 76' goal
  • Ollie Tipton 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Danilo Orsi 3'
  • goal Danilo Orsi 66'
  • yellowcard Liam Kelly 68'
League Two Gameweek 44
Crawley
Apr 22, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Broadfield Stadium (Crawley, West Sussex)
Notts County
  • Ashley Nathaniel-George 19' goal
  • goal Craig Mackail-Smith 8'
  • yellowcard Robert Milsom 45'
  • redcard Ben Barclay 54'
League Two Gameweek 11
Notts County
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)
Crawley
  • Kane Hemmings 9' goal
  • Jon Stead 33' goal
  • Robert Milsom 66' redcard
  • Nathan Thomas 87' goal
  • Elliott Ward 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Payne 61'
  • yellowcard Romain Vincelot 85'
  • goal Dominic Poleon 90'
  • yellowcard Ollie Palmer 90'
League Two
Notts County
Jan 23, 2018 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Crawley
  • Matthew Virtue-Thick 28' yellowcard
  • Shaun Brisley 45' yellowcard
  • Jon Stead 57' goal
  • Matthew Virtue-Thick 90' redcard
  • Ross Fitzsimons 90' redcard
  • Elliott Hewitt 95' yellowcard
  • goal Jimmy Smith 25'
  • yellowcard Thomas Verheydt 37'
  • yellowcard Josh Lelan 49'
  • goal Josh Payne 90'
League Two
Crawley
Sep 16, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Notts County
  • Josh Yorwerth 79' yellowcard
  • goal Jorge Grant 55'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Forte 88'

Form Data

Harrogate 1 - 2 Crawley
Morecambe 1 - 0 Crawley
Accrington 0 - 1 Crawley
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 1 Crawley
Crawley 2 - 0 Forest Green
Crawley 1 - 1 Walsall
Notts County 0 - 2 AFC Wimbledon
Notts County 3 - 4 Sutton
Notts County 1 - 3 Crewe
Wrexham 1 - 0 Notts County
Newport 1 - 3 Notts County
Notts County 1 - 3 Gillingham