League Two

League Two | Gameweek 38

Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
2 - 1
Notts County

Lolas (79'), Adeyemo (84')
Gordon (12'), Mukena (49'), Forster (54'), Lolas (73'), Maguire (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Austin (20')
Slocombe (30'), O'Brien (51'), Robertson (66')
Robertson (72')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 1-2 Crawley
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.12%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Notts County
41.65% ( 0.45)	21.91% ( 0.28)	36.44% ( -0.72)

Both teams to score 69.52% (

-1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.62% (

-1.57)

30.38% (

1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.35% (

-1.9)

51.65% (

1.91)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.45% (

-0.47)

15.55% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.51% (

-0.89)

44.49% (

0.9)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.32% (

-1.01)

17.68% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.68% (

-1.78)

48.32% (

1.79)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 41.65%

Notts County 36.44%

Draw 21.91%

Crawley Town	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.1) Other @ 4% Total : 41.65%	1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.91%	1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.14) 3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.44%