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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Accrington Stanley

Swindon
1 - 2
Accrington

Drinan (47')
McEachran (30'), Blake-Tracy (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nolan (57' pen.), Henderson (82')
Leigh (14'), Mellor (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Accrington Stanley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Swindon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Bradford
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.16%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawAccrington Stanley
54.16% (-0.186 -0.19) 22.04% (0.061 0.06) 23.8% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 60.36% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.19% (-0.138 -0.14)38.8% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.88% (-0.145 -0.15)61.11% (0.147 0.15)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)14.35% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.78% (-0.208 -0.21)42.22% (0.209 0.21)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (0.033000000000001 0.03)65.53% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 54.16%
    Accrington Stanley 23.8%
    Draw 22.03%
Swindon TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.22% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 23.8%

How you voted: Swindon vs Accrington

Swindon Town
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Accrington Stanley
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Accrington
3-4
Swindon
Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
Coleman (7')
Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')
Pitman (30')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
0-3
Accrington

Grounds (73')
Fryer (6' og.), Bishop (25'), Charles (38')
May 5, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-0
Accrington
Richards (14'), Anderson (43'), Mullin (55')
Dunne (85')

Dunne (76')
Dunne (85')
Feb 6, 2018 7.45pm
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Kee (25' pen.), Jackson (62')
Clark (48'), McConville (75'), Kee (90')
Richards (71' pen.)
Dunne (46'), Purkiss (49'), Lancashire (66'), Banks (78')
Gordon (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539
> League Two Full Table


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