League Two

League Two | Gameweek 38

Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
1 - 2
Accrington

Drinan (47')
McEachran (30'), Blake-Tracy (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nolan (57' pen.), Henderson (82')
Leigh (14'), Mellor (90')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Accrington Stanley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Swindon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Bradford
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.16%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Accrington Stanley
54.16% ( -0.19)	22.04% ( 0.06)	23.8% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 60.36% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.19% (

-0.14)

38.8% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.88% (

-0.15)

61.11% (

0.15)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.64% (

-0.11)

14.35% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.78% (

-0.21)

42.22% (

0.21)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.48% (

0.03)

29.52% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.46% (

0.03)

65.53% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 54.16%

Accrington Stanley 23.8%

Draw 22.03%

Swindon Town	Draw	Accrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 54.16%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.03%	1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 23.8%

How you voted: Swindon vs Accrington

Swindon Town

66.7%

Draw

0.0%

Accrington Stanley

33.3%

Head to Head

Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 20

Accrington

3-4

Swindon

Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
Coleman (7')

Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')

Mar 6, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 34

Accrington

2-1

Swindon

Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')

Pitman (30')

Nov 17, 2020 7pm

Gameweek 9

Swindon

0-3