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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 61.8% ( | 20.12% ( | 18.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.24% ( | 37.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40% ( | 59.99% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.23% ( | 11.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.06% ( | 36.93% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% ( | 34.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.03% ( | 70.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 3-0 @ 6.59% ( 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 4-1 @ 3.78% ( 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 5-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 4.19% Total : 61.8% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0-0 @ 4.03% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.12% | 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0-2 @ 2.31% ( 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 1-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 18.07% |