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Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
Wrexham AFC

Forest Green
1 - 1
Wrexham

Osadebe (3')
Robson (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mullin (90+3' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-3 Wrexham

Although Wrexham have been susceptible at the back this season, conceding 31 times, they are not as inconsistent in that areas of the field as Forest Green. Given the firepower that the Welsh side possess and their ability to create chances against the best sides that League Two have to offer, we believe they will ultimately be too much for the home team to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawWrexham
33.77% (3.454 3.45) 25.54% (0.455 0.45) 40.69% (-3.91 -3.91)
Both teams to score 55.41% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.51% (-0.822 -0.82)48.49% (0.823 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.38% (-0.754 -0.75)70.62% (0.753 0.75)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (1.837 1.84)27.46% (-1.838 -1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (2.313 2.31)62.95% (-2.313 -2.31)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.39% (-2.219 -2.22)23.61% (2.219 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.31% (-3.314 -3.31)57.69% (3.315 3.32)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 33.77%
    Wrexham 40.69%
    Draw 25.53%
Forest Green RoversDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.686 0.69)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.533 0.53)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.692 0.69)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.387 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.132 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.4 0.4)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.77%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.698 -0.7)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.503 -0.5)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.582 -0.58)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.298 -0.3)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.69%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Wrexham

Forest Green Rovers
21.6%
Draw
7.8%
Wrexham
70.6%
51
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Forest Green
3-0
Wrexham
Bennett (45'), Noble (47' pen.), Doidge (64')
Carter (39'), Ellis (43')

Riley (27'), Jennings (43'), Barry (43'), White (44')
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Wrexham
3-1
Forest Green
Harrad (15'), McDonagh (30', 93')
McDonagh (76'), Evans (78')
Carter (68')
Traore (76')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Forest Green
0-0
Wrexham
Racine (31'), Wedgbury (36'), Marsh-Brown (61'), Guthrie (65')
Smith (61'), Jennings (66'), Heslop (94')
Hudson (72'), Jennings (75')
Feb 6, 2016 3pm
Wrexham
2-2
Forest Green
Hudson (62', 68')
Heslop (74')
Carter (21'), Williams (94')
Bennett (36'), Racine (50'), Marsh-Brown (54'), Wedgbury (73')
Wedgbury (93')
Feb 24, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Accrington StanleyAccrington00000000
2AFC Wimbledon00000000
3BarrowBarrow00000000
4Bradford CityBradford00000000
5Bromley00000000
6Carlisle UnitedCarlisle00000000
7Cheltenham TownCheltenham00000000
8Chesterfield00000000
9Colchester UnitedColchester00000000
10Crewe AlexandraCrewe00000000
11Doncaster RoversDoncaster00000000
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood00000000
13Gillingham00000000
14Grimsby Town00000000
15Harrogate TownHarrogate00000000
16MK Dons00000000
17Morecambe00000000
18Newport CountyNewport00000000
19Notts County00000000
20Port Vale00000000
21Salford City00000000
22Swindon TownSwindon00000000
23Tranmere RoversTranmere00000000
24Walsall00000000


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