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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
33.77% ( 3.45) | 25.54% ( 0.45) | 40.69% ( -3.91) |
Both teams to score 55.41% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.51% ( -0.82) | 48.49% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.38% ( -0.75) | 70.62% ( 0.75) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.54% ( 1.84) | 27.46% ( -1.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.04% ( 2.31) | 62.95% ( -2.31) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.39% ( -2.22) | 23.61% ( 2.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.31% ( -3.31) | 57.69% ( 3.32) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.69) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.4) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.7) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.5) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.58) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.3) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |