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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 49.24% ( | 24.23% ( | 26.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.72% ( | 46.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.43% ( | 68.57% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.14% ( | 18.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.68% ( | 50.32% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% ( | 31.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.28% ( | 67.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 2-0 @ 8.23% ( 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 49.24% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 26.52% |