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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Morecambe |
46.85% ( -1.3) | 25.07% ( -0.05) | 28.09% ( 1.35) |
Both teams to score 54.23% ( 1.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.21% ( 1.08) | 48.79% ( -1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.1% ( 0.98) | 70.89% ( -0.97) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.14% ( -0.12) | 20.86% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.45% ( -0.19) | 53.55% ( 0.19) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.52% ( 1.62) | 31.48% ( -1.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.14% ( 1.83) | 67.86% ( -1.82) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.85% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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