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Championship header 2

League Two

Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Swindon Town

Mansfield
3 - 2
Swindon

Akins (4'), Keillor-Dunn (51'), Swan (67')
Akins (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Glatzel (50'), Drinan (59')
McCarthy (41')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Harrogate
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 17.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawSwindon Town
63.65% (0.00099999999999767 0)19.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)17.23%
Both teams to score 59.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.61% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)34.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)56.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.71% (0.0019999999999953 0)10.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.31%33.69% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87%33.14% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.74% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 63.65%
    Swindon Town 17.23%
    Draw 19.12%
Mansfield TownDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 8.82%
1-0 @ 7.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.38%
3-0 @ 6.68%
4-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 4.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.8%
4-2 @ 2.32%
5-1 @ 1.91%
5-0 @ 1.73%
5-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 63.65%
1-1 @ 8.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 3.41%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.12%
1-2 @ 4.73%
0-1 @ 3.77%
0-2 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.98%
1-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 17.23%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
2-1
Mansfield
Young (38', 90+3')
Young (90+4')
Akins (49')
Maris (37')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Swindon
2-4
Mansfield
Hepburn-Murphy (3'), Williams (86')
Quinn (13'), Akins (32'), Oates (33'), Boateng (65')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Mansfield
2-5
Swindon
Gordon (1'), Swan (30')
Williams (7', 35'), Jephcott (51'), Darcy (68'), Gladwin (85' pen.)
Jan 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 26
Mansfield
3-2
Swindon
Maris (4'), McLaughlin (31' pen.), Bowery (43')
Hawkins (15'), O'Toole (63')
McKirdy (28'), Iandolo (89')
Odimayo (30'), Conroy (63'), Hunt (73')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swindon
1-0
Mansfield
Simpson (59')
Kesler (75'), Odimayo (88'), McKirdy (90+3')

Clarke (37')