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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 57.14%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 22.15% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.66%) and 1-0 (7.23%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 57.14% ( | 20.71% ( | 22.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.61% ( | 34.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.69% ( | 56.3% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88% ( | 12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.55% ( | 37.44% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( | 28.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.83% ( | 64.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 3-1 @ 6.82% ( 3-0 @ 5.42% ( 3-2 @ 4.29% ( 4-1 @ 3.61% ( 4-0 @ 2.87% ( 4-2 @ 2.27% ( 5-1 @ 1.53% ( 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 4-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 57.14% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-0 @ 3.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0-1 @ 4.29% ( 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.36% Total : 22.15% |