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Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 21
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
MK Dons

Mansfield
1 - 2
MK Dons

Quinn (15')
Cargill (45+2'), Boateng (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gilbey (20'), Dennis (54')
Dennis (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 57.14%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 22.15% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.66%) and 1-0 (7.23%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawMK Dons
57.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)20.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)22.15% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 62.99% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.61% (0.016000000000005 0.02)34.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)56.3% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.55% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.44%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.025000000000006 0.03)28.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.033000000000001 0.03)64.16% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 57.14%
    MK Dons 22.15%
    Draw 20.71%
Mansfield TownDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 4.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 57.14%
1-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 5.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 22.15%

How you voted: Mansfield vs MK Dons

Mansfield Town
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
MK Dons
7.7%
26
Head to Head
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
MK Dons
1-0
Mansfield
Wheeler (2')
Nicholls (63'), Aneke (89')

MacDonald (81'), Logan (95'), Mellis (97')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Mansfield
1-1
MK Dons
Mellis (17')
Sweeney (13'), Benning (52')
Houghton (24')
Brittain (81'), Aneke (85'), Watson (90')
Jul 21, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Mansfield
1-1
MK Dons
Thomas (45')
Powell (58')
Jan 1, 2008 3pm
Oct 2, 2007 3pm
Mansfield
1-2
MK Dons
Boulding (29')
Buxton (42'), John-Baptiste (73')
Stirling (83'), Dyer (72')
Stirling (34'), Knight (50'), Andrews (79'), Swailes (85')
rhs 2.0


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