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Championship header 2

League Two

Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Notts County

Accrington
2 - 2
Notts County

Whalley (17'), Nolan (79' pen.)
O'Brien (46'), Hills (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
O'Brien (4'), Jatta (45')
Baldwin (71')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Accrington
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Notts County
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawNotts County
33.65% (0.0039999999999978 0)22.92%43.42% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 64.8% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)36.22% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)58.33% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12% (0.0039999999999978 0)54.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78%17.22% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)47.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 33.65%
    Notts County 43.42%
    Draw 22.92%
Accrington StanleyDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 7.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 5.71%
2-0 @ 4.36%
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 33.65%
1-1 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 6.75%
0-0 @ 3.74%
3-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.18%
2-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 3.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.28%
2-4 @ 1.74%
0-4 @ 1.49%
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 43.42%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Notts County
3-1
Accrington
Crowley (7'), Langstaff (64', 90')
Jones (22'), Nemane (61'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+5'), Brindley (90+5')
Andrews (27')
Leigh (74'), Conneely (86')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Notts County
Hughes (9')
Aug 25, 2017 7.45pm
Notts County
2-2
Accrington
Stead (33' pen.), Grant (54')
Duffy (58'), Hewitt (63'), Tootle (91')
Tootle (91')
Hughes (58'), Wilks (95')
Donacien (65'), Wilks (92')
Leacock-McLeod (66')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Accrington
2-0
Notts County
Rodgers (45'), Husin (80')

Ameobi (71')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Notts County
0-2
Accrington

Audel (21'), Duffy (28')
O'Sullivan (17'), Boco (67')
Donacien (31'), Conneely (54')
rhs 2.0


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