Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Salford City

Notts County
1 - 2
Salford City

Crowley (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McAleny (31', 87')
Mariappa (49'), Hendry (54'), McAleny (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 0-3 Notts County
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Morecambe
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.81%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSalford City
47.25% (0.036999999999999 0.04)21.72% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)31.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 68.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.68% (0.02000000000001 0.02)31.32% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.24% (0.024000000000001 0.02)52.76% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.07% (0.018000000000001 0.02)13.93% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.6% (0.037999999999997 0.04)41.39% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)20.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 47.25%
    Salford City 31.03%
    Draw 21.72%
Notts CountyDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.56% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 47.25%
1-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.94%
0-0 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.43%
3-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.03%

How you voted: Notts County vs Salford City

Notts County
71.4%
Draw
17.9%
Salford City
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Salford City
0-2
Notts County

Ingram (76'), McAleny (84'), Watt (86'), Berkoe (87')
Berkoe (90+3')
McGoldrick (37'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (68'), O'Brien (82'), Nemane (89')
Nemane (90+1')