League Two Gameweek 40
Notts County
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Salford City
  • Dan Crowley 53' goal
  • goal Conor McAleny 31'
  • yellowcard Adrian Mariappa 49'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 54'
  • yellowcard Conor McAleny 80'
  • goal Conor McAleny 87'

Notts County vs Salford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 19, 2024 7.45pm
Bradford 0 - 3 Notts County
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Macaulay Langstaff

Salford City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2024 2.00pm
Salford City 3 - 1 Morecambe
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Matt Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.81%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Notts County 47.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 21.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Salford City 31.03% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.18% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 31.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 47.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 52.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 28.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 71.75% ▼ (-0.03)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 86.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 13.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 58.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 41.39% ▼ (-0.05)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5 79.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 20.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 46.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 53.43% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Notts County 47.25%
Draw 21.72%
Salford City 31.03%
Notts County
2-1 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 47.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.94%
0-0 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.72%
Salford City
1-2 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 31.03%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 8
Salford City
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Peninsula Stadium
Notts County
  • Ethan Ingram 76' yellowcard
  • Conor McAleny 84' yellowcard
  • Elliot Watt 86' yellowcard
  • Kevin Berkoe 87' yellowcard
  • Kevin Berkoe 90'+3' redcard
  • goal David McGoldrick 37'
  • goal Dan Crowley 63'
  • yellowcard Dan Crowley 68'
  • yellowcard Jim O'Brien 82'
  • yellowcard Aaron Nemane 89'
  • redcard Aaron Nemane 90'+1'

Form Data

Bradford 0 - 3 Notts County
Accrington 2 - 2 Notts County
Crawley 2 - 1 Notts County
Notts County 0 - 2 AFC Wimbledon
Notts County 3 - 4 Sutton
Notts County 1 - 3 Crewe
Salford City 3 - 1 Morecambe
Salford City 2 - 2 Stockport
MK Dons 3 - 1 Salford City
Salford City 0 - 2 Gillingham
Salford City 1 - 1 Colchester
Mansfield 5 - 1 Salford City