League Two Gameweek 37
MK Dons
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stadium mk
Salford City
  • Mike Williamson 21' yellowcard
  • Kyran Lofthouse 27' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 31' goal
  • Matt Smith 45'+7' goal
  • Lewis Bate 74' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 74' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Smith 12'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 20'
  • yellowcard Matt Smith 54'
  • yellowcard Conor McAleny 71'
  • yellowcard Theo Vassell 74'
  • yellowcard Matthew Lund 82'

MK Dons vs Salford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Mansfield 1 - 2 MK Dons
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Max Dean

Salford City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
Salford City 0 - 2 Gillingham
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Matt Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 57.49%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 21.49% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 1-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result

MK Dons 57.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 21.02%
Salford City 21.49% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.83% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 36.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 41.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 58.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 22.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77% ▼ (-0.02)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 87.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 12.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 61.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 38.83% ▼ (-0.01)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5 69.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 30.34% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 33.47% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 66.53% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

MK Dons 57.49%
Draw 21.02%
Salford City 21.49%
MK Dons
2-1 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 57.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.02%
Salford City
1-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 21.49%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 19
Salford City
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT Moor Lane
MK Dons
  • Matthew Lund 33' yellowcard
  • Neil Wood 34' yellowcard
  • Kelly N'Mai 36' goal
  • Ryan Watson 45'+2' goal
  • Adrian Mariappa 64' yellowcard
  • goal Max Dean 10'
  • goal Joe Tomlinson 50'
  • yellowcard MJ Williams 67'
  • goal Joe Tomlinson 72'
  • yellowcard Joe Tomlinson 73'
  • goal Ellis Harrison 88'

Form Data

Mansfield 1 - 2 MK Dons
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 MK Dons
MK Dons 3 - 0 Newport
MK Dons 1 - 1 Wrexham
Swindon 1 - 2 MK Dons
Bradford 4 - 0 MK Dons
Salford City 0 - 2 Gillingham
Salford City 1 - 1 Colchester
Mansfield 5 - 1 Salford City
Salford City 5 - 3 Barrow
Salford City 2 - 2 Doncaster
Swindon 1 - 1 Salford City