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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 46.05% | 23.82% ( | 30.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.93% | 42.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.52% | 64.47% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% ( | 18.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.29% | 49.7% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( | 26.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% | 61.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% 1-0 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-0 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.5% Total : 46.05% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.28% 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0-2 @ 4.31% 1-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.13% |