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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Doncaster Rovers

Swindon
1 - 2
Doncaster

Glatzel (46')
Brewitt (12'), McEachran (30'), Devoy (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Biamou (10'), Adelakun (26')
Senior (50'), Lo-Tutala (79'), Olowu (84')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Accrington
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
46.05%23.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)30.13% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 59.8% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93%42.07% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52%64.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.5% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)18.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.29%49.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)26.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14%61.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 46.05%
    Doncaster Rovers 30.13%
    Draw 23.81%
Swindon TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 9.28%
1-0 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 5.22%
3-0 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 46.05%
1-1 @ 10.99%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.31%
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 30.13%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Doncaster
0-0
Swindon
Ironside (35'), McCann (35'), Westbrooke (39'), Senior (62'), Lawlor (69')
Rowe (45')
Khan (34'), Hutton (37'), Brewitt (67'), Austin (73')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Swindon
0-2
Doncaster
Molyneux (71', 73')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Doncaster
0-1
Swindon
Wakeling (60')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Swindon
1-2
Doncaster
Hope (73')
Conroy (64'), Thompson (66'), Curran (76')
Okenabirhie (5', 45+1')
Okenabirhie (33'), Simoes (52'), Butler (71'), James (85'), Greaves (90+5')
Dec 15, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 18
Doncaster
2-1
Swindon
James (47', 72')
Jaiyesimi (90+8' pen.)
Conroy (40'), Grounds (50'), Fryers (51'), Stevens (88')