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Championship header 2

League Two

Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Doncaster
2 - 0
Crewe

Adelakun (17'), Rowe (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rowe (37'), Adebisi (43'), Cooney (54'), Williams (65')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Doncaster
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawCrewe Alexandra
41.05% (-0.349 -0.35)25.62% (0.059999999999999 0.06)33.32% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.121 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (-0.194 -0.19)48.97% (0.19199999999999 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (-0.177 -0.18)71.06% (0.173 0.17)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (-0.262 -0.26)23.64% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26% (-0.378 -0.38)57.73% (0.374 0.37)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.02% (0.085000000000008 0.09)27.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.38% (0.11 0.11)63.62% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 41.05%
    Crewe Alexandra 33.32%
    Draw 25.62%
Doncaster RoversDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 9.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 41.05%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.42% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.74% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.32%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Crewe
3-2
Doncaster
Offord (29'), O'Riordan (44', 90+2')
Thomas (90')
Faal (16'), Ironside (57')
Maxwell (19'), Anderson (37')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Doncaster
0-2
Crewe
Baker-Richardson (31'), O'Riordan (37')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crewe
1-1
Doncaster
Baker-Richardson (14')
Miller (77')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Doncaster
2-0
Crewe
Rowe (10'), Martin (47')
Rowe (60')

Mandron (60'), Long (83')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Crewe
2-0
Doncaster
Knight (33'), Finney (72')

Knoyle (45'), Anderson (71')