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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Grimsby Town

Sutton
1 - 1
Grimsby Town

Lakin (88' pen.)
Eastmond (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Obikwu (44')
Thompson (54'), Rose (80'), Rodgers (82')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 1-0 Sutton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
39.17% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)26.25% (0.0020000000000024 0)34.58% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.6% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)51.4% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)73.22% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)25.72% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)60.64% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (0.022999999999996 0.02)28.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (0.024999999999999 0.02)64.12% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 39.17%
    Grimsby Town 34.58%
    Draw 26.25%
Sutton UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.17%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.19% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 34.58%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Grimsby Town
1-1
Sutton
Pyke (19')
Smith (45+5')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Sutton
0-1
Grimsby Town
Efete (34')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Grimsby Town
0-0
Sutton
Waterfall (42'), Holohan (47'), Green (86')
John (34'), Boldewijn (86')
rhs 2.0


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