League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Elliott Nevitt 71' goal
  • Josh Austerfield 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Omar Sowunmi 42'
  • yellowcard Harry Beautyman 48'
  • yellowcard Joe Kizzi 77'
  • yellowcard Stephen Duke-McKenna 90'+1'

Crewe Alexandra vs Sutton United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Doncaster 2 - 0 Crewe
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Elliott Nevitt

Sutton United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Sutton 1 - 1 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Harry Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result

Crewe Alexandra 49.83% (-0.20)
Draw 23.56% (+0.05)
Sutton United 26.61% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.03% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.76% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 43.24% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 34.36% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 65.64% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 17.79% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 82.21% (+0.09)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 82.53% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 17.47% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 52.05% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 47.95% (+0.21)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5 70.31% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 29.69% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 34.25% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 65.75% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Crewe Alexandra 49.83%
Draw 23.55%
Sutton United 26.61%
Crewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.05% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 49.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.82% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.19% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.55%
Sutton United
1-2 @ 6.67% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.3% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.82% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.7% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 26.61%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Walton Road Stadium
  • Louis John 28' goal
  • Josh Coley 82' yellowcard
  • Dion Pereira 88' yellowcard
  • goal Courtney Baker-Richardson 17'
  • yellowcard Ryan Cooney 45'
  • yellowcard Lee Bell 46'
League Two Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Coby Rowe 90'+3' goal
  • goal Dan Agyei 33'
League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Courtney Baker-Richardson 12' goal
  • Tariq Uwakwe 87' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig Eastmond 38'
  • yellowcard Harry Beautyman 58'