League Two

League Two | Gameweek 38

Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
1 - 0
Sutton

Nevitt (71')
Austerfield (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sowunmi (42'), Beautyman (48'), Kizzi (77'), Duke-McKenna (90+1')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Sutton United
49.83% ( -0.2)	23.56% ( 0.05)	26.61% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 58.03% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.76% (

-0.11)

43.24% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.36% (

-0.11)

65.64% (

0.11)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.53% (

-0.12)

17.47% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.05% (

-0.2)

47.95% (

0.2)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.31% (

0.05)

29.69% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.25% (

0.06)

65.75% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 49.83%

Sutton United 26.61%

Draw 23.55%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Sutton United
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.83% Total : 49.83%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.55%	1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 26.61%